Monday, December 17, 2007

Study Shows Timely Payments On New Mortgages Rise

In a glimmer of good news for the U.S. home-mortgage market, more people are managing to keep up with payments on loans made in recent months, according to new data from First American LoanPerformance, a San Francisco research firm.

The trend reflects more-conservative lending policies adopted by mortgage companies this year in the wake of a surge in defaults and foreclosures, said Mark Carrington, director, analytical sales and support, at First American LoanPerformance.

Even so, defaults continue to rise in proportion to the overall number of home loans outstanding nationwide, most of which were made between 2003 and 2006, when lending standards were growing more lax. That means foreclosures are likely to keep rising, adding to a glut of homes already on the market and weighing on prices.

To assess recent results, LoanPerformance looks at loans that are four months old or less. During this year's second quarter, 6.6% of subprime loans in that category already had been blemished by payments at least 60 days overdue, LoanPerformance found. That was down from 7.2% in the first quarter and a peak of 7.6% in last year's third quarter. "It's still really high, but at least it's dropping now," Mr. Carrington said.

LoanPerformance says its loan-servicing data base covers about 80% of the national mortgage market. Subprime loans are those to borrowers with weak credit records or high debt in relation to their income.

For prime loans, the rate of new loans going bad declined to 0.6% in the second quarter from 0.8% in the first quarter.

A rash of all-but immediate defaults on loans last year alarmed investors and helped force dozens of lenders out of business. Investors who buy loans often can force lenders to buy back those that go sour within a few months. That can mean big losses for the lenders.

Lenders have blamed the early defaults partly on fraudulent loan applications from people who never intended to make payments and partly on a drop in home prices that has prompted some buyers to walk away from their obligations. Partly as a result, lenders are screening loan applicants more carefully for signs of fraud and requiring buyers to put up larger down payments.

The lax practices of recent years continue to haunt lenders. Including all subprime loans in the database, 18.8% were 60 days or more overdue in July, up from 17.5% in June, according to LoanPerformance. Making matters worse, borrowers face sharply higher payments on those loans after an initial two- or three-year period of easier terms expires.

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source: realestatejournal.com

In China, the Wealthy Show Off Wealth With Lavish Homes

BEIJING -- On a tour of the model homes in Palais De Fortune, sales manager Cai Siyu points out features one might expect in any French-style chateau. There are sculptures of cherubs adorning the front gate, a Swarovski crystal chandelier hanging above a sweeping central staircase, and a maid in a lace-ruffled uniform waiting at the front door.

Next door, just 33 feet away, another miniature Versailles rises out of the Beijing smog, and down the road there are 172 more just like it. The sight is a jarring reminder that this gated community, where houses cost about $5 million and measure approximately 15,000 square feet, isn't in France. It's one of the most exclusive, if architecturally incongruous, neighborhoods in China. A peek inside offers a view of what it's like to be rich in a country that's still coming to terms with being communist in name only.

Just a generation ago, wealth in China was considered a sign of corruption. Most rich Chinese hid their fortunes, fearing that the government would confiscate their money or put them in jail. Today, two decades after the post-Mao economic reforms that transformed the country -- there are 106 Chinese billionaires, according to the Hurun Report rich list -- many Chinese still don't like to talk about their wealth. But they're not ashamed to show it off.

The lavish, granite-clad homes in the 82-acre Palais De Fortune embody new China's infatuation with foreign lifestyles, or, at least, its image of them. "Our developers went to France to study the style," Mr. Cai says.

During the model-home tour, he shows off the gleaming white "Western style" kitchen, which features a coffee maker, a wine rack, an oven and other appliances, plus a bowl of plastic fruit. Palais De Fortune, notes the marketing brochure, "represents the lifestyle of top rich families around the world."

About 75 similar luxury developments, which the Chinese have dubbed "villa compounds," have been built in Beijing and Shanghai in recent years. The district where Palais De Fortune is located, on the way to Beijing's airport, is the site of more than a dozen suburban-style developments. The gated compounds come complete with cookie-cutter villas that cost millions of dollars, international schools and manicured golf courses. Initially, homes in these communities attracted expatriates, but now, real estate agents say, they're being bought up by Chinese, too, many of whom have made their fortunes in manufacturing, property and finance.

Despite the obvious Western influences, the compounds are uniquely Chinese. Tucked around the corner from that Western kitchen in the Palais model home is a more functional, "Chinese style" one, outfitted with a wok range and a grease-filtering range hood. And the developments are situated among factories and farms; indeed, sheep sometimes graze near the Palais front entrance. The mansions there are made all the more striking by their proximity to a village of migrant construction workers across the street.

It isn't easy for an individual to build a large, private residence in Beijing or Shanghai. In part, that's because of government planning, the response to a housing shortage brought on by millions of workers streaming into urban centers in search of jobs. Looking to maximize land use, the government sold off large plots to developers, who built dense apartment blocks or, farther away from the city centers, exclusive enclaves for the rich.

"It is a very different situation than what you would see in the States," says Edward Cheung, the China chief executive of property consulting company DTZ. "The government's policy of land sales means it only makes sense to sell mass parcels, rather than small plots of land."

Even though the government helped create the villa phenomenon, lately it has shown it isn't entirely comfortable with the idea, amid China's growing wealth gap. Earlier this year, Beijing forbade billboard ads for luxury villas. And last year, the government introduced a nationwide ban on new villa compounds, though work continues on previously approved projects. The effort may have slowed a high-end real estate bubble, but it has also increased the price of houses in some existing developments.

Inside these subdivisions there's another local real-estate quirk: Developers usually pack in the mansions one right next to another, an effort to squeeze value out of expensive property. In Palais De Fortune, each three-story villa sits on little more than a third of an acre. The view out some windows, through the gold-tipped wrought-iron fencing that encloses each copycat property, looks right into the windows of the house next door. And since the tight plots allow little room for backyards, swimming pools are often built in the basements of the houses. Privacy is another reason for the indoor pools, as is the desire to escape from Beijing's windy, dusty climate.

The cramped plots don't bother one wealthy customer touring Palais de Fortune on a recent afternoon. "I like the overall atmosphere of the community," says the textile tycoon, who asked not to be identified. Like other visitors, he is wearing blue plastic booties that look like shower caps over his shoes, to keep the dust from Beijing's streets off the marble floors. "I think I would make some good relationships with the neighbors," he says, sipping tea in the show house's drawing room. Here, as with most Chinese villa compounds, the property management company also plans community activities, ranging from ball games to cigar clubs and swimming activities. (The fee for this service is about $1,300 per month.) Focal points for social activities include a lush community garden and a giant clubhouse, which resembles a Parisian train station.

Privileged and Anxious

Living in such an exclusive community itself conveys a sense of privilege. But it also reflects a growing anxiety about violence against the wealthy, not surprising in a country where the booming economy is creating a widening gulf between rich and poor. In 2004, there were more than 3,800 reported kidnappings in China, according to a report in Oriental Look, a respected Chinese magazine; in 1997, there were just 38. In one high-profile case last year, a forestry bureau official and his wife were both stabbed to death inside their Beijing villa.

As a result, security is a big selling point. Palais De Fortune, still under construction, has four guards for every five villas, and infrared-cameras monitor the perimeter of each house. "There are no blind areas around any of the houses. And should you have some disaster and the guard can't come, you can run into the panic room," says Mr. Cai, showing off a double-steel-door reinforced bunker in the basement. He says the panic room (which costs an extra $25,000 or more, depending on the size) will keep residents safe from gunfire, earthquakes -- even poison-gas attacks. A video screen on the wall shows what's happening at the front gate of the house, with images relayed from the cameras mounted outside. A sign on the wall explains that panic rooms have been featured in the movies and "in use for many years by the rich and famous, corporate executives and powerful figures around the world."

Bao Zhiyi, a construction worker who has lived in the settlement of laborers across the street from the Palais gates for three years, doesn't seem to resent his wealthy neighbors, even though, he says, he is not allowed inside the development. Taking a cigarette break in front of his own gate, which features a rusted crest with a lion, he says, "It's not for me. But these people are capable of making money, so they deserve it."

Copying lavish architectural styles from abroad has a long history. America's 19th-century robber barons fashioned their estates after European castles, sometimes importing them brick by brick. Spanish-style villas and Louis XIV mansions can be found almost anywhere around the world where people have money.

Still, there's a theme-park feel to much of China's luxury real estate. Rose Garden, a development with 380 houses in north Beijing and one of the city's first villa compounds, is divided into six "lands": America, Europe, Japan, Space, Canada (Toronto, Vancouver and Newfoundland) and Neoclassical North America. Sometimes, the actual differences between them can be confusing. "We have many styles here," says Zhang Yan, a Rose Garden sales manager, as she points with a pool cue at miniature models of the homes. Space is based on the city that many Chinese think epitomizes futuristic architecture: skyscraper-clad Hong Kong.

Offering a tour of Rose Garden in a golf cart, a colleague of Ms. Zhang zips past Japan and parks in a cul-de-sac in Neoclassical North America, where the houses are painstakingly crafted versions of what look like California McMansions. (The developers claim that the style was inspired by a town in Quebec called Richelieu.) In fact, there are several architectural styles in this mini-America, identified on the mailbox of each home, including Roman Holiday, Tuscan, American Classic, Sunny Mediterranean and Victorian.

Inside Roman Holiday model number 336, the decor is not as lavish as the chateaux in Palais de Fortune, but there is no less attention to detail. A boy's bedroom features wallpaper with '50s-era American images of youths playing baseball. In another bedroom there are framed photos of Tom Cruise and Katie Holmes. Outside, a man-made river weaves among the villas -- a nod to the Chinese love of water features -- designed to resemble one of the rivers that flow toward Lake Champlain. "Water is fortune," reads the sales brochure.

"Many wealthy people here have a U.S. background, or have been heavily influenced by American culture and education," says real-estate agent Zhang Jifeng, director of the Beijing strategy department at E-House China, a real-estate services company. "They want to recreate that lifestyle here."

While some Americans might find such a heavily themed development a bit like living in Disneyland, Mr. Zhang sees nothing incongruous about that. "Is it unbelievable to Americans to live inside Disneyland?" he says. "I'm not sure a Chinese person would think that is a problem."

As China's own view of itself in the world continues to evolve, so do its tastes. At Palais de Fortune, Mr. Cai says, the developers have been easing back on French-style finishings in the newest homes, such as elaborate carvings on the exterior walls, and introducing simpler, more contemporary Chinese styles.

And several years ago, the entire Rose Garden subdivision was itself turned into a kind of traditional Chinese courtyard, when the developers added a 10-foot red wall around the perimeter. Their inspiration: the red wall that encloses Beijing's famous Forbidden City, former home to China's imperial family. "One reason we added it is to respect China's traditions," says Ms. Zhang. "The other is for security."

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source: realestatejournal.com

Is a Bigger Lot Better When Buying a Home?

Question: My wife and I live in Silicon Valley, and we're looking to trade up to a single-family home from our condo. In terms of future capital appreciation, is it better to purchase a newer, larger home on a tiny lot (3,000 square feet and under) or is it better to buy an older, smaller home with a larger lot (8,000 square feet-plus) with room to expand? Most new homes in the Valley are built on very small lots.

-- Tony Lee, San Jose, Calif.

Tony: Remember that old song, "Give me land, lots of land in the country that I love?"

There's a reason the cowboys sang it.

From the standpoint of flexibility, it usually makes sense to go for the most land you can get. And that's doubly true in Silicon Valley, where lots are scarce and vacant land suitable for building often sells for more than $1 million an acre. Older homes can be remodeled and expanded; but that's not really a possibility if you have a dinky lot.

"You can change the size of the house, but you can never change the size of the land," says Don Orason, a San Jose real-estate agent.

But when it comes to appreciation, there's no real difference. Mr. Orason pulled up statistics for two homes in the 95148 ZIP code that recently sold: Both with four bedrooms, two and one-half baths and about 1,900 square feet. The first, 3430 Chemin De Riviere Drive, is 7 years old and sits on a 3,484-square-foot lot. It sold in July 2004 for $721,000 and again in August of this year for $863,000 -- a 20% price gain. The second residence, 3710 Slopeview Drive, is 25 years old and has a 10,018-square-foot lot. In July 2004 it sold for $720,000, and it sold for $870,000 in June of this year. That's another 20% gain. (Mr. Orason has more information on the San Jose market, including price and sales trends, on his Web site; information on recent sales can also be found on Trulia.com)

Lot size shouldn't be the sole or even a major factor in deciding which home you should buy -- unless, of course, you want a big backyard for pets and/or kids. Instead, look at the quality of school districts (important for resale value, even if you don't have children), views, convenience to shops and work and neighborhood amenities. These things aren't easy to quantify and compare, but they matter a lot to your future happiness.

So do your feelings about remodeling: Does the thought of living in the chaos of an older home during remodeling make you want to tear out your eyeballs? Then a newer home on a smaller lot may be the better choice for you.

I've said it before: Don't think of your house primarily as an investment. Think of it as your home. Find a neighborhood that fits, a house you love, and a fixed-rate mortgage you can afford -- and forget about trying to game the market. If you're happy where you are, you are far more likely to stay there awhile -- which is, of course, the best way to maximize your investment.

-- June Fletcher is a staff reporter at The Wall Street Journal and the author of "House Poor" (Harper Collins, 2005). Her "House Talk" column appears most Mondays on RealEstateJournal.com. Email your questions about the residential real-estate market. Please include your name, city and state. If you don't want your name used in our column, please indicate that. Due to volume of mail received, we regret that we cannot answer every question.

Share your comments on the House Talk discussion board.

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source: realestatejournal.com

Richard Gere Buys In Schnabel's Building

Actor Richard Gere has bought an apartment in a New York City condominium project being built by artist and filmmaker Julian Schnabel.

The "Chicago" star's purchase price couldn't be determined, but investment banker William J.B. Brady paid $15.5 million last month for a fourth-floor apartment. The apartment is being sold directly by Mr. Schnabel.

The artist, 55 years old, is building a nine-story addition on top of a three-story former horse stable he owns in the West Village. The addition contains five residential units of about 18,500 square feet in total, records show. Each unit comes with outdoor space, private storage and access to a shared indoor pool, according to records, as well as double-height ceilings, 6-foot-tall fireplaces and earthenware or marble tubs. Mr. Schnabel is using the lower three floors as an art studio and is keeping one apartment for himself.

Mr. Schnabel has said the building's color is red, but unhappy neighbors call it the "pink building." Last year, a local group unsuccessfully opposed the project, claiming Mr. Schnabel violated height restrictions.

Mr. Gere, a longtime Tibet activist, was on Capitol Hill this week attending the U.S. tribute to the Dalai Lama. Messrs. Gere and Schnabel both had films at the New York Film Festival this fall, Mr. Gere as one of six actors playing aspects of Bob Dylan in "I'm Not There," and Mr. Schnabel with "The Diving Bell and the Butterfly," which he directed. The artist also designed interiors for New York's recently completed Gramercy Park Hotel.

Rental-Car Mogul Buys in Palm Beach

Rental-car billionaire Jack Taylor has bought a Palm Beach, Fla., home for about $6.75 million.

The quarter-acre property had a most-recent asking price of $7.1 million. One block from the ocean, the 5,300-square-foot Monterey-style house has five bedrooms, six bathrooms and a second-floor covered front balcony, according to the listing. There's a pool and spa. Mr. Taylor, 85 years old, founded Enterprise Rent-A-Car, now led by his son, Andrew. Earlier this year, the Taylor family acquired National Car Rental and Alamo Rent A Car.

Records show that the home's seller was Casey Cowell, co-founder of US Robotics, a modem and networking-products maker now owned by private-equity firm Platinum Equity. Mr. Cowell paid $5.9 million for the home in 2004, according to records. Carole Koeppel, of Sotheby's International Realty, had the listing. Kendall Pickett, of Pelican Properties Group, represented Mr. Taylor.

Claiborne Ranch's Price Is Cut by 12%

The price of a Montana ranch owned by the late Liz Claiborne has been cut 12% after a year on the market to $7.5 million from $8.5 million, according to the listing broker.

Ms. Claiborne and Arthur Ortenberg -- her 81-year-old husband and co-founder of her firm, Liz Claiborne Inc. -- assembled the 720-acre ranch in the 1980s and retired in 1989 to devote themselves to wildlife-preservation causes. (Mr. Ortenberg owns another Montana ranch, outside Helena.)

The ranch complex sits on a private lake, Tranquillity, and includes a two-bedroom main house of close to 9,000 square feet (excluding basement), with an indoor pool. There's a two-bedroom guest house, an indoor riding arena, a caretaker's house and other outbuildings. A conservation easement protects about 640 acres. The couple thoroughly remodeled the seasonal residence. Missoula International Airport is about 75 miles southwest. William McDavid, of Hall & Hall, has the listing.

Ms. Claiborne, whose company pioneered affordable, mainstream attire for working women, died in June, at age 78.

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source: realestatejournal.com

Real Estate Wrap: Upgrades pay off at Devon Square

Devon Square, a two-building, 140,000-square-foot office complex on Lancaster Avenue in Devon, Pa., keyed up a new tenant, helping to nudge up its occupancy.

Guardian Life Insurance signed a five-year lease on 3,196 square feet at Devon Square II at 744 W. Lancaster Ave. Beacon Commercial Real Estate represented the tenant while CB Richard Ellis represented the landlord, Keystone Property Group of Conshohocken, Pa. Keystone recently redeveloped the property, putting in $6 million in interior and exterior upgrades. With the new lease, Devon Square is now 64 percent leased.

In other deals:

* Keystone continues to expand beyond the Philadelphia area, acquiring its first property in Central Florida. It bought Pinebrook, a six-building flex and office complex in Largo for $11.05 million. Pinebrook was 70 percent occupied at the time of the sale. Aside from Florida, Keystone now owns commercial real estate in suburban Philadelphia, New Jersey and, since last year, the Chicago suburbs.
* Ebewe-Parenta Pharmaceuticals Inc. leased 2,336 square feet at 777 Township Line Road, a building owned by Liberty Property Trust in Yardley, Pa. Grubb & Ellis represented the tenant. Liberty is based in Malvern, Pa.
* Meridian Capital of New York arranged $37.8 million in financing for Bucks Landing, a 456-unit apartment complex at 120 E. Street Road in Warminster, Pa.
* ARC Wheeler, a Philadelphia real estate joint venture between area firms ARC Properties Inc. and Wheeler Brothers Holdings, bought the B&O Building in Baltimore. The landmark 13-story, 220,500-square-foot building will undergo a major renovation that will entail having its top seven stories converted into a hotel designed by Kimpton Hotels. Floors three through six will remain office space but will also undergo renovations and the first two floors will have a restaurant and other public space.


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source: bizjournals.com